Thursday, July 13, 2017

Spanish Fork HRRR terrain

If you live at the mouth of a canyon you know that it can get windy. One challenge in numerical weather prediction is the inability to resolve small scale features, such as terrain (well, we could run models at ultr-fine scale, but we don't have the computational capacity to do that). The HRRR model has a 3-km grid spacing, which is great, but still too coarse to simulate the actual depth of Spanish Fork Canyon. See the examples below:

Model terrain in the HRRR at Spanish Fork. You are looking south east towards Spansih Fork Canyon

Below is the actual terrain, from a 30 m Digital Elevation Model, is shown below. Again you are looking towards the southeast towards Spanish Fork Canyon.

Finally, a Google Earth image showing the area we are looking at...

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