Overall Weather Pattern: A trough will enter Utah Friday afternoon bringing cooler temperatures and widespread rain. By Saturday morning the rain will exit Utah. That's good news for the wedding!
|NAM Forecast issued 08-05-2015 12:00z|
It looks like the 18:00z NAM forecast is almost out, so we'll take a look at that soon.
UPDATE: August 6, 2015 2:00 PM
Below is the Short Range Ensemble forecast for Friday at 6:00 PM. Shown is the percent of models producing more than 0.01 inches of rain.
Now look at Saturday morning at 3:00 AM. Notice that the band of rain has moved north. I expect on Saturday morning the grass will be wet but the skies will start to clear.
Saturday at Noon
Saturday at 6:00 PM
So good news, this reception wont be rained out.
Looking at all the model members, yep, doesn't look like we'll get any new rain on Saturday after the sun rises. Still, it would be wise to keep an eye on the radar for any pop-up thunderstorm over the west mountains that could blow over.